JQP wrote:
Quote
"Iman L Crawford" <ilcrawford.at.hotmail.dot.com>wrote in message
news: XXXX@XXXXX.COM ...
>"JQP" < XXXX@XXXXX.COM >wrote in news:402cfe45$ XXXX@XXXXX.COM :
>>Would you care to offer any facts to back your claim?
>
>I'll offer twice as many as you have to back yours.
www.infoworld.com/article/04/01/08/HNibmchallenge_1.html
"But the open source revolution has yet to catch on at the corporate
desktop. Linux represents only 2.8 percent of the client operating system
market, according to IDC analyst Dan Kusnetzky. IDC doesn't expect that
figure to change significantly over the next three years. "
OK JQP. we have ALREADY GONE THROUGH THIS.. How do they know this? They
COUNT the number of machines sold with Linux and the number of Linux copies
purchased. Anyone who knows ANYTHING AT ALL, about the way Linux is used
and installed, knows that using these types of figures as a way to measure
use, IS JUST PLAIN DUMB.. I have given you previously, one small instance,
our own Consulting company. We buy one Linux copy, and run it on ten
machines. MS came on three of those machines, and it runs on ZERO of those
machines. So according to the survey our company consist of the following:
3 Windows Desktops
1 Linux Desktop.
1 Windows Server
0 Linux Servers
The true facts are:
1 Windows Server
1 Windows Desktop
7 Suse Linux Desktops
3 Suse Linux servers
Doesn't jive with the sales figures, now does it?
Again the very FALSE impression is that all those running Linux buy a new
copy for each machine they own and/or every machine they buy comes
preloaded with Linux. The truth of the matter is, I do not know of a single
solitary company, nor individual, where this statement would be true, so
the statistics are DEAD WRONG.
Taking then into account, our one small company, that means the the IDC
figures are actually 10 times in error in our company alone. Now suppose
that we even half that figure to say 5 times wrong. That would means that
Linux desktops could be at 50% error (100% in our case) 2.8X5=14% of
desktops running Linux. We have not even taken into account free
downloadable linux versions like Mandrake ISOs, Debian ISOs, Gentoo,
Slackware, etc.
There is, in actuality, no way to measure the Linux Market penetration at
all. The Netcraft survey for servers, would be closer, to be sure, but even
then, you would have to assume that all Linux servers were connected
directly to the internet. In our case, that would not be true, and I doubt
that ALL internal servers used in households, or corporations would all be
tied to the internet either. It would not be true of MS servers either. MS
servers are easier to track because if you do not buy a license, MS can
legally come after you.
This survey must also assume, that everyone who buys a machine with Windows
preinstalled, still runs Windows. I just provided you with an example of
three machines in our company alone, where this is not true. Why not ask
the users here who bought a machine with Windows on it, If they still run
Windows on that machine? For each one who states, "NO", then that means
MS=-1 and whatever (BSD, Linux, Solaris, whatever)=+1
I can also give you one of our smaller customers as an example. They always
buy Dell machines, so they all come pre-installed with Windows. Their last
purchase was 25 machines. 15 of these run Windows, the rest run Linux. They
did not buy (surprise, surprise) 10 Linux license. In fact, they are
runing Gentoo and Fedora, so they have not purchased a single Linux
license. Therefore, according to IDC, they are running:
25 machines on Windows
0 machines on Linux.
The truth is:
15 machines on Windows
10 Machines on Linux
Meaning that the IDC figures are now off by 40% for Windows, and (since they
are showing zero running on Linux) 10 times 1, wrong about Linux.
Again, this is an example of only two companies. Already you have a deficit
of 9+10 machines WRONGLY counted in this survey or 19 out of 37 machines
calculated incorrectly. Those are pretty large numbers of a percentage
wrongly counted to come up with their figures. And our two companies are
certainly not alone.
In fact three of our main customer's customers replaced their Windows Server
installations with Linux last week. They would still be considered in the
Windows camp, albeit they are running Linux. No, this is not a desktop
case, but the same IDC figures take into account servers as well. A trip to
Netcraft alone, would reveal that their Linux Server figures cannot be
anywhere near correct either. I would doubt either Oralce, IBM, or Sun, for
instance, purchase a brand new copy of Linux for each internal machine they
use at either the Desktop or Server level. In fact, IDC probably still
shows the majority of Oracle Corps. Desktops running Windows, which is DEAD
WRONG.